NaMo
Voter
Rise and raise of NaMo: Summary of various Surveys/Opinion polls leading to April 2014 General Elections
For the convenience of our readers, we’ve tried to bring forth the gist of all nation-wide opinion polls/surveys, conducted by various media agencies/pollsters in the recent past, for a quick perspective on forth coming General elections in April 2014.
We have summarized the findings from these surveys on two key questions –
1) Lok Sabha seats tally projection and
2) Preference for PM candidate
The summary of the same is presented below:
Lok Sabha seats tally projection:
| Survey – Timeline | NDA/ BJP | UPA/ Cong | Others |
|---|---|---|---|
| Times Now – C Voter (Jan - Mar 2013) | 184/141 | 128/113 | 231 |
| Headlines Today – C Voter (Apr - May 2013) | 220/178 | 155/130 | 168 |
| ABP News – Nielsen (May 2013) | 206/160 | 136/115 | 201 |
| The Week – Hansa Research (July 2013) | 197/160 | 184/150 | 162 |
| CNN-IBN, The Hindu, CSDS (July 2013) | 176/150 | 153/130 | 214 |
| Times Now-India Today-C Voter (Feb - July 2013) | 156/131 | 134/119 | 253 |
| IBTL Online Opinion (July 2013) | 211/184 | 124/113 | 208 |
| India TV C Voter (July 2013) | 156/131 | 136/120 | 251 |
| IBTL opinion poll (Dec 2013) | 235/211 | 100/83 | 208 |
| India Today – C Voter Mood of the Nation (Jan 2014) | 212/188 | 103/91 | 228 |
| CNN-IBN, Lok Niti, CSDS (Jan 2014)) | 221/201 | 117/100 | 205 |
| ABP News – Nielsen (Jan 2014) | 226/210 | 101/81 | 216 |
| IBTL opinion poll (Jan 2014) | 251/225 | 103/75 | 189 |
| Times Now – C Voter Mood of the Nation (Feb 2014) | 227/202 | 101/89 | 208 |
| India Today – C Voter Mood of the Nation (Feb 2014) | 237/212 | 91/79 | 208 |
| CNN-IBN Lokniti election tracker (Mar 2014) | 232/213 | 110/94 | 203 |
| NDTV - Hansa Research Survey (Mar 2014) | 229/195 | 129/106 | 185 |
| Votercept Psephology Agency (Mar 2014) | 282/249 | 83/67 | 180 |
| Avg. of latest trend (Dec 2013 - Feb 2014) | 235/211 | 103/86 | 204 |
| 2009 Elections result | 137/116 | 228/206 | 178 |
| Implied change (approximate) | +93/+91 | -125/-120 | +31 |
Preference for PM candidate (%):
| Survey – Timeline | NaMo | Rahul |
|---|---|---|
| India Today – C Voter Mood of the Nation (Jan 2013) | ~57% | ~41 |
| Times Now – C Voter (Jan - Mar 2013) | ~38% | ~18% |
| CNN-IBN, The Hindu, CSDS (July 2013) | ~19% | ~12% |
| ABP News – Nielsen (May 2013) | ~47% | ~18% |
| Hindustan Times – Gfk (May 2013) | ~38% | ~23% |
| The Week – Hansa Research (July 2013)td> | ~32% | ~13% |
| India TV C Voter (July 2013) | ~38% | ~18% |
| India Today – C Voter Mood of the Nation (Aug 2013) | ~45% | ~32% |
| India Today – C Voter Youth survey (Sep 2013) | ~47% | ~33% |
| CNN-IBN, Lok Niti, CSDS (Jan 2014) | ~42% | ~25% |
| India Today – C Voter Mood of the Nation (Jan 2014) | ~47% | ~15% |
| ABP News – Nielsen (Jan 2014) | ~53% | ~15% |
| Times Now – C Voter (Feb 2014) | ~48% | ~14% |
| Latest trend (Jan 2014) | ~48% | ~17% |
While we do not vouch for the accuracy, veracity and scientific basis of these projections (made by various media houses/agencies, many of whom have ‘chronic’ anti-NaMo/BJP bias), we believe that broader trend points that - India wants to get rid of the incumbent Congress led UPA government for good at the centre (even without anyone having to look at any survey findings).
Undoubtedly, NaMo has emerged as the No.1 choice of the voters in ALL the surveys with an over whelming majority (twice the preference than his nearest contender, in most of these surveys). This is not to be seen as any sudden phenomenon, it only picked up momentum with the dismal performance of UPA government on all fronts of governance and proven track record of BJP-led governments in various states.
As expected, BJP seem to have taken the right move by responding to popular mood in the country to project NaMo as their PM candidate. The fortunes of BJP rising are seen to be rising ever since NaMo has been announced as BJP/NDA PM candidate (from ~154 projected seats in July 2013 to ~203 projected seats in January 2014).
We note from these surveys that the Congress led UPA (in its present format) is on the path of decline and is set to lose at least 100 seats, which both the BJP led NDA and the regional/smaller/ Non-NDA parties are seen to be taking advantage off. However, it is particularly important to note that the projected tally of seats of other parties/fronts also seem to be reducing marginally from ~232 in July 2013 to ~ 214 in January 2014.
Latest trend shows BJP/NDA gaining at the expense of both UPA/Congress and other parties (see the graphic below):
It may be noted that the scope for furthering the seats tally (individually) for any of the Non-UPA/Non-NDA parties (part of the ‘Others’ segment) like - SP, BSP, TC, Left front, DMK, AIADMK, RJD, BJD etc., is minimal, although collectively they may aim to extract a chunk from loss of Congress/UPA. Unfortunately none of these parties individually can neither dream of crossing 40 seats nor offer a promising narrative for good governance at centre. Even more disturbing/un-comforting is that, many of these parties are fighting each other in their respective states, like - BSP & SP, AIADMK & DMK, TDP & YSRCP, JD(U) & RJD, TMC & Left front etc. Hence, the question of stable/good government from the likes of these parties and their puny leaders does not arise.
On the other hand, BJP under the leadership of NaMo is aiming for 272+ on its own.
Now, whether the country’s future is better off/ safer –
A) In the hands of the decisive leadership of NaMo led NDA
[OR]
B) In the hands of many leaders like - Mulayam, Lalu, Maya, Karuna, Jaya, Y S Jagan, Mamata, Nitish, Karat, Deve Gowda, Kejriwal etc. (who represent outfits within the ‘Others’ segment).
This decision is our hands.
We all can, together choose to give a DECISIVE MANDATE to a DECISIVE LEADER and bring about CHANGE for BETTER INDIA, but that decision is in our hands, collectively.
Let us all strive to build - ‘Ek Bharat Shresht Bharat’
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About Us
Today, frustration among citizens in India has reached unprecedented levels.
The ill-effects of mal-governance, mis-administration and rampant corruption has percolated into every aspect of a citizens life. The rising prices/infaltion, lack of jobs/opportunities, brazen corruption/nepotism and in-difference o the plight of common man even at the face of natural calamities/ terror attacks has largely gone un-checked. Media, which is supposedly the FOURTH pillar of democracy (Executive, Judiciary and Elected bodies, being the other three) has been colluding with the political class (especially, those with leanings for Left-liberal ideology) and has been doing great disservice to their profession and the nation
We have helplessly sat before our TV screens for years, hoping Mainstream Media will someday reflect the sentiments/anguish of common man. However, we the people of India were betrayed by the conduct of these mainstream media (MSM) houses, who have been abusing their viewers by showing naked bias in favour of Congress led UPA/ their political bosses. The same lot of MSM agencies/houses have been putting ‘relentless efforts’ for over a decade now(using unethical/immoral means and false propaganda) to tarnish/ witch-hunt NaMo, at every available opportunity. The venom-spewing campaign of these Media houses has reached unbearable levels. Today, audience/viewers were able to see through the nefarious intentions behind this media obsession to crucify NaMo. The overwhelming support to NaMo across length and breadth of India, proves his growing stature.
Despite so much negative propaganda and witch-hunt by the hate spreading/ venom-spewing media libtards, NaMo stayed positive and worked hard for bringing development to Gujarat.
Today NaMo stands out as an exceptionally tough character and embodiment of positive force, especially because he delivered, despite facing unimaginable negativity/venom/false propaganda(which, if any ordinary individual is subjected for even few days could turn insane) for over a decade. It is this trait of NaMo, which has inspired us to support him for the sake of truth.
Independent, ordinary citizens like us, with no prior political affiliations have voluntarily stepped forward to support NaMo, without any expectations for our efforts.
We felt, if we do not support NaMo now, it will tantamount to killing the truth.
“All those who witness injustice/sin, but do NOT oppose the same, due to any reason (be it – they being part of injustice/sin, they being indifferent or they fear the perpetrators of injustice/sin etc.) will have to share the punishment/karma of the committed injustice/sin” ~ Lord Shri Krishna, in Mahabharata, in the context of punishment meted to Kuru greats like Bheeshma, Dronacharya etc., for not objecting to the evil deeds of Kuru prince, Dhuryodhana.
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